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“Peter possesses a keen sense and insight for turning telecom services and products into customers and dollars. He is passionate about this industry, his work and the people he serves. Visit his site, read his blog and sign up for his newsletter at marketingideaguy.com and you will discover what makes Peter a sought after marketing consultant.”

Cynthia de Lorenzi, CEO, Patriot Computer Group

Monday News Bits
NSP Strategist
Monday, 16 April 2012 10:21

Quite a few good articles to share with you today.

A couple of weeks ago in Vegas, I was in a meeting with Gartner and CRN. Some of this meeting I shared with folks in Orlando. Some of it is here by CRN's Rauline Ochs in The Art Of Cloud Brokering. "Forty-two percent of customer respondents indicated a cloud broker is critical or important to their cloud services plans today. Another 13 percent believe a cloud broker is critical when the customer’s IT delivery model includes three to five or more cloud services." It's about making the complex easier <- that's your job.

There is still money in wirelines. New Services Let Wired Networks Push Data, Video. "Metaswitch is demonstrating multiple ways to let businesses and consumers share content during calls, push calls from a smartphone to a desk phone to a tablet without dropping them, and push out Web pages during a call to offer coupons or business information to folks calling in."

A look at cellco Net Neutrality by Forbes.

TW Cable, VZ Wireless Gang Up on AT&T. VZW has already started marketing its combo bundles with TWC outside its current region, attacking ATT. This combo will not be good for the marketplace.

A quick comparison of VoIP Pricing.

House votes to limit FCC's power to make rules, set conditions on mergers

It's NOT just about Price. There's also Value, Ease, Bundle and more. Read here.

20% Don't Go Online at All!

Peter Radizeski is a telecommunications consultant and analyst with RAD-INFO INC. Service Providers have called on RAD-INFO INC for assistance building a channel, improving sales, managing online marketing efforts, and overall company strategy. Contact RAD-INFO INC at 813-963-5884 or http://rad-info.net

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Wave2Wave in BK
NSP Strategist
Friday, 13 April 2012 07:54

I just learned that Wave2Wave filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in February. Wave2Wave bought RNK in 2007. " Less than a year after Wave2Wave acquired the company, Verizon Services Corp. filed a suit against RNK over reciprocal compensation charges and access charges in N.Y., Mass. and R.I. As that dispute continued, Verizon placed a majority of the monthly payments it owed RNK in escrow toward an “alleged balance” of more than $4 million." It always seems that VZ is involved with many BK filings in telecom.

"Verizon threatened to turn off service this morning," said Michael Sirota, a Hackensack attorney who represents Wave2Wave. "So the bankruptcy was filed to stop them from terminating services and allowing us to quickly restructure with Verizon and other creditors," according to NJ news reports.

"The documents say Wave2Wave lost $17 million in 2011 on revenue of $57 million, and was hurt by rulings from the Federal Communications Commission and New Jersey's Board of Public Utilities that reduced the amount the company could charge customers – shrinking its revenue...The Wave2Wave bankruptcy filing says its revenue suffered when the BPU ordered local carriers, such as RNK, to reduce the amount they charge long-distance carriers that use their local services....The company reported current and long-term debt of $36 million." [source] Apparently, a lot of money from inter-carrier compensation and no foresight that ICC would be diminishing. Oops! It reminds me of CLEC's that didn't think UNE-P would be taken away. Where's the Plan B? Although what Plan B can you have with losses and debt.

According to the creditors list, VZ is owed less than $3M. But VZ will liquidate your ass for as little as $1 mill.

Interesting, they owed Alteva $64K.

Peter Radizeski is a telecommunications consultant and analyst with RAD-INFO INC. Service Providers have called on RAD-INFO INC for assistance building a channel, improving sales, managing online marketing efforts, and overall company strategy. Contact RAD-INFO INC at 813-963-5884 or http://rad-info.net

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Get Off the Agents' Back
On Rad's Radar
Thursday, 12 April 2012 13:48

These were my thoughts on the 2011 CPZ that I was a panelist on. These are my thoughts as a reaction to the latest CPZ.

Surprisingly, not everyone read my post about how the whole telecom eco-system is shifting. Agents, Masters, Carriers and Cloud Providers are all going to experience a Shift.

Did you ever see Shift Happens?

Considering all these factors - Quota, Debt, declining revenue, pricing pressure, and flat markets - the future looks bleak for telecom.

Most of the people who were talking on the CPZ 2012 video about transactional agents are not actually agents. Many are not agents and to my knowledge never have been.

Does a subset of Agents shop masters? Probably.

On the other hand, I know masters who shop to sub-agents with "I'll give you another point or two to go with me." Part of this is due to the weight of quota on the Master Agency business. Master Agents are under a tremendous pressure to hit quota to keep the support level and sustain the commission revenue at its current level.

Value and Telecom

The whole Industry talks about VALUE, but can they describe it? Or is it really all a bunch of me-too companies at every level? UNE-P, Integrated T1, SIP Trunking, etc. It's all just a bunch of me-too similar looking and sounding services.

Branding is non-existent in our space, except for the Duopoly of ILEC and MSO. Some value comes from branding. Other value comes from benefits and differentiation.

An example would be how telcos painted cable broadband as a shared service. Yet cable won the broadband war. Without value, it becomes a commodity. Commodities are price shopped. Tell me the difference between any two Internet T1's or any two SIP Trunks.

Carriers are Unhappy with Agents

Just because Agents don't act like you want them to doesn't mean they are all in the wrong. You built this current eco-system. Now you want the ship to turn on your say so. Easier said than done, pal.

And really have you done all you can to give Agents the tools they need to sell your product? Not to be repetitive, but have you established your value statement? Do you know who the target market is? Do you know what triggers the sale? Who is the actual buyer? Answer those questions first.

The Industry wants the Channel to go upstream, except they don't. By that I mean, the carriers want revenue. Period. We all have quota. While they might want an Agent to sell MPLS, they aren't turning away T1 business either.

Keep in mind that it might be that the marketplace doesn't want to go upstream either. Cable is doing an excellent job of disrupting the market and stealing business with cheap loops.

At a CLEC training, it stated that cable would own the sub-$500 business. It was almost like they were ceding it. Yes, the MSO will become the de facto ILEC, while the ILEC's cede that business for more fertile ground (like cellular).

In the training, the CLEC stated that they want Multi-site, multi-access business. Unfortunately, again, they all compete for that same business with the same exact tool. Masergy, Smoothstone, EarthLinke, Megapath, Netwolves, Wind, CenturyLink - just to name a few, compete for that exact business of Multi-site, multi-access. To hear carriers talk, I guess, MPLS is the new Integrated T1 (in every way).

No one buys the way most service providers sell. That's why we are always searching for Consultative Sales Professionals. Because the whole industry sells what they want - and it is followed up by a series of me-too. ... Just because one CLEC is selling Managed Security does not mean that the marketplace wants it or will buy it or that it will want it delivered that exact way. It also doesn't mean that the next eight CLEC's or service providers need to market that same offering. Do we know what the marketplace is expecting?

henry_ford_1919.jpg

How Things Can Shift

One thing that could cause a big shift is if Tech Data became a Master Agent. With TDMobility, they already have the platform and are selling cellular in a Master Agent model. Plus by selling mobile device management, a kind of TEM and all that hardware, they have caught up to the big Masters. CDW could become a Master Agent if they wanted to - and they might have to in order to sell more hardware.

Dell could become a Cloud Provider. As it stands now, they are an MSP Enabler - and Dell is selling CDN! It will be interesting to see what Ingram and SYNNEX - both betting on cloud services for their future - do to not have to compete with Dell head-to-head, while also competing with Tech Data.

I don't think that most telcos will make the shift to managed services and cloud successfully. It's labor intensive. It doesn't scale like telecom. They think they can automate everything, but that only works for cookie cutter stuff. I think MSP's will win this war. Cloud system integrators will win if they partner with VAR's who can handle the on-going maintenance and support that all this technology will require.

Can the Channel change to become Trusted Advisors? Probably not all of them. Selling Cloud is different than selling telecom. Period.

The Channel basically sells replacement services. Here are some examples: VoIP for POTS: SIP Trunk for PRI; Ethernet for T1. Each transaction is replacing like for like. Even MPLS is just a replacement for Frame Relay, ATM and IP-VPN.

That is why selling Hosted PBX and other cloud services are so challenging: It is not a simple replacement. It's not like for like.

The sales process for selling replacement services is pretty easy. When the sale becomes about business process change or fork-lift upgrades (like Hosted UC or Virtual Desktop), the sales skills are different. The sales cycle is different - and longer. Provisioning takes longer. Ultimately, commission payments are much later.

This is really important to remember.

Selling Cloud and Managed Services will not just be more of a challenge, but it may be less satisfying. Why? Transactional sales types are motivated and driven by quick hits and a lot of ink in a month. Extended sales cycles are less motivating to this type of sales person.

Moreover, as commissions decline with the price decreases, agents have to sell more and more to maintain their revenue goals. Shifting to new products, new sales skills, and a different sales approach will be a huge leap, especially without training, a financial cushion, a deep desire for change, and vendor support.

Agents are not FARMERS! They are Hunters! They do not do Account Management, cross-sell or upsell to the base. Smart agencies will higher a couple of farmers to work the customer base and perform account management.

All of this makes me wonder who will be the Agent of tomorrow, who will be grooming accounts and performing consultative selling of complex solutions to their customers?

Read more... [Get Off the Agents' Back]
 
A Look at Time Warner
NSP Strategist
Wednesday, 11 April 2012 04:09

Time Warner Inc. [TWX] is once again a separate media company, "a global leader in media and entertainment with businesses in television networks, filmed entertainment, publishing and interactive services". In 2009, AOL and TWX split up after a horrible merger. AOL has purchased a number of online media properties including HuffingtonPost, TechCrunch, Engadget, Moviephone, Stylist, TUAW and Patch.com (local news). AOL just sold 800 patents to Microsoft for $1B.

TWX "owns New Line Cinema, Time Inc., HBO, Turner Broadcasting System, The CW Television Network, TheWB.com, Warner Bros., Kids' WB, Cartoon Network, Boomerang, Adult Swim, CNN, DC Comics, Warner Bros. Animation, Cartoon Network Studios and Castle Rock Entertainment. The company used to also have telecommunications assets through Time Warner Cable and AOL, but in 2009, they were spun off from Time Warner into independent companies." [wikipedia]

TWC is now a separate company that just runs an MSO. TWC operates in 28 states and has 31 operating divisions, according to wikipedia. TWC licenses the Road Runner brand from its former parent company, TWX. TWC has made acquisitions, including cable assets of both Adelphia (remember those criminal owners?) and Insight. "On August 13, 2011, Time Warner Cable announced its purchase of Insight Communications for $3 billion acquiring Insight's 700,000 subscribers nationwide." TWC also bought Navisite - data center and hosting company - for $230M in 2011.

In Tampa and Orlando, former TWC franchises reverted back to Bright House Networks, owned by Advance/Newhouse, who also owns the Biz Journals. Read the history at wikipedia.

TWCable has NOTHING to do with tw Telecom (TWTC).

"tw telecom was originally founded as Time Warner Communications in 1993 as a joint venture between U S West and Time Warner Cable. Time Warner Telecom rapidly evolved into a business provider specializing in fiber-based last mile solutions." "In 1998, tw telecom—then known as Time Warner Communications—was formed into its own entity, and in May 1999, issued an initial public offering (IPO)." In 2006, TWTC acquired Xspedius Communications for $531M. Today, TWTC operates in 75 markets nationwide, with more than 27,000 route miles of fiber and more than 10,000 LIT buildings. The company has two NOCs in Denver and O'Fallon, Mo. On July 1, 2008, the company officially changed its name to tw telecom. TWTC is a focused business CLEC that specializes in Ethernet access and is run by a woman, Larissa L. Herda, who is Chairman, CEO and President. TWTC does about $1.3B in revenue annually. It has about $1.7B in debt. Fun fact: 90% of TWTC shares are held by Institutional & Mutual Fund Owners. The C-Suite only owns 1%.

There was a time when folks thought that TWC and TWTC shared assets, including network. Not the case. Two entirely separate networks, NOC's, and companies. That said, I can quote and provision circuits for TWC and TWTC for you. Just drop me an email or call the office (813) 963-5884.

Peter Radizeski is a telecommunications consultant and analyst with RAD-INFO INC. Service Providers have called on RAD-INFO INC for assistance building a channel, improving sales, managing online marketing efforts, and overall company strategy. Contact RAD-INFO INC at 813-963-5884 or http://rad-info.net

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USTelecom Wants Forbearance for all ILECs
On Rad's Radar
Monday, 09 April 2012 10:36

We once fancifully debated if the ILEC's would LET the cablecos get ahead just so they could get out from under regulations. This was 2006. Apparently, that was the plan.

USTelecom is an organization made up of ILEC's. The org has filed for forbearance at the FCC on behalf of its members. Not certain THAT is legal.

The petition [pdf] comes from the ILEC executives "essentially telling the FCC that it's time to wake up and smell the coffee--"many rules were adopted in a different era, long before the advent of broadband networks or the creation of the public Internet."," as JSI describes it. JSI continues with, "it might be time for a new regulatory regime as even the 96 Act is becoming less and less relevant with each new cord cutter and cross-platform conglomerate. The petition is also in line with the White House and Congress' push to get the FCC to clean house, and "the Commission's commitment to eliminate unnecessary regulatory requirements.""

The petition states, "Forbearance is warranted because the rules have been rendered obsolete by technological and market changes. From a technological standpoint, the Commission's legacy telecommunications regulations are ill-suited to facilitating, and in fact hamper, broadband deployment." I'm not sure that's true. It hasn't hampered DSL; the LEC's have by not deploying, switching to fiber and, quite frankly, arrogantly thinking that they were still a Monopoly. In every respect, the trouble with ILEC's is NOT the federal (or dwindling state) regulations. The trouble with the ILEC's is a Monopoly Mindset.

They don't choose the best technology nor do the deploy technology well. Mismanaged spectrum just being a symptom.

FiOS failed because the numbers forecast was wrong. Basing it on 50% penetration was a mistake. Not considering that it would take 2 techs all day (or longer) to install triple-play FiOS. Thinking that the CPE - all 4 pieces of equipment - would be cheap to install.

Let's also look at three bigger problems for ILEC's Pensions, Unions, and USF. By shifting to a cellular and entertainment companies, the RBOCs - AT&T and Verizon - are moving toward a non-union shop. AT&T is dealing with CWA union contracts right now - and VZ had to deal with them last year (along with a strike). They want to eliminate the union. Cellular, entertainment, cloud and outsourced services mean less Union liability - and less pension liability. The ILEC's - Embarq, VZ, ATT, Qwest - are sitting on a chunk of pension payments. It's just another example of bad planning by the executives running these corporations. I know in my life time I will see one of these companies file BK papers. With all the debt they have - $109B just for the Big 2 - mixed with declining revenues, pension payments, probably healthcare costs, union troubles and hyper-competition, the C-Suites at the ILEC's - all of them - are as ill-suited to run them as Hesse is to turn Sprint around.

einstein.jpg

A Forbearance petition is nice, but it won't solve any of their problems.

With USF Reform, the RLEC's - and even some ILEC's (FFW+C) - will be in even more trouble. Not just competition and dwindling access lines, but decreasing government subsidies for those access lines PLUS a requirement to build out broadband, which means CAPEX! It is not a pretty horizon.

As I read this paragraph all I can think is: Monopoly MIndset is the problem, not FCC regulations. And claiming that it is regs that have created the current quagmire is sticking your head in the sand.

"Indeed, the most recent survey by the Center for Disease Control (which has been relied upon previously by the Commission) has found that more than 32 percent of households have completely "cut the cord" and have abandoned their wireline phone altogether. .... At the same time, incumbent carriers compete against a host of providers, including cable companies that offer service to at least 93 percent of American households, already serve approximately 20 percent of the residential voice market, and are the primary provider of residential broadband. Under these competitive circumstances, the current outdated regulatory regime imposes unnecessary costs on a limited subset of competitors to the detriment of these competitors and consumers alike." Plus it's a Duopoly. There isn't much competition in the Broadband space. It's DSL, cable or 3G.

Comments or Oppositions Due: April 9, 2012 TODAY>

And of course COMPTEL has filed opposition.

Category 10 (Service Discontinuance Approval Requirements); Category 9 (Rules Governing Notices of Network Changes); and Category 2: (Open Network Architecture and Comparably Efficient Interconnection Requirements, All-Carrier Computer Inquiry Rules and the Structural Separation Rule) would really make CLEC life miserable.

Think about this when thinking about regulations being the issue: "According to the Telecommunications Industry Association, wireless has become the preferred voice-services option. Wireless revenue in 2012 is forecast at $335 billion, while all other forms of fixed network voice revenue will only total $176 billion ($132 billion for wireline, $38 billion for broadband access and $6 billion in cable/television revenue)." Is it regulations doing this or our mobile culture? De-regulating ILECs will mostly hurt SMB who are the profit center of ITSP and CLEC businesses.

One last point: voice is being replaced by Skype, G+, Facebook, IM, chat, SMS, and other types of communications. These innovations were NOT brought to you by the telcos NOR will any innovation because they have a Monopoly Mindset. And that mindset screams: "We want to make more money off our old plumbing without having to morph, change or innovate!"

There's no fixing that.

Read more... [USTelecom Wants Forbearance for all ILECs]
 
3 Billion Dollar Deals
On Rad's Radar
Monday, 09 April 2012 10:05

Apparently, $1B is not a lot of money. Three deals today - all at $1B.

Facebook bought Instagram, a photo-sharing app, for $1B.

Microsoft paid $1B for 800 AOL patents. Who knew AOL even had 800 patents?  Now they can fund Patch some more.

AT&T sold a majority stake in its Yellow Pages unit for $950 Million. "Private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management has agreed to acquire a majority stake of AT&T's Yellow Pages business unit, which will be rebranded under the name YP Holdings LLC. AT&T will still maintain a 47 percent equity interest in the new entity but will hand over the controlling stake in the unit to Cerberus for $750 million in cash and the assumption of $200 million in debt." It must be short term gains that Cerberus is after, because with search going to Google and Facebook, how does YP.com monetize?

Read more... [3 Billion Dollar Deals]
 
The Hosted PBX Business
NSP Strategist
Monday, 09 April 2012 04:27

“According to Insight Research Corp., in early 2012, hosted PBX revenue might amount to about $500 million annually, expected to grow to about $1.2 billion by 2015, Insight Research predicts. ... That is far less revenue than many had been predicting would be the case by now. “The hosted PBX/VoIP service providers had only garnered less than four percent of the small business lines (seats) as of year end 2010,” Insight Research says.

It continues, "But the base is so vastly different: Circuit-switched voice represents about $132 billion in annual revenue in 2012, while VoIP represents only about $ 14.6 billion in revenue. At those rates, circuit-switched voice declines about $2 billion a year, while VoIP grows about $1.4 billion."

The answer is simple: VoIP is sold as cheaper than TDM. So revenue will decline. Also, switched voice traffic is migrating to other avenues like chat, IM, SMS, cellular and other types of VoIP (Skype, et al).

FYI: "In 2010, operators made on average only $13.21 per user per year from mobile VoIP services." Yikes!

Peter Radizeski is a telecommunications consultant and analyst with RAD-INFO INC. Service Providers have called on RAD-INFO INC for assistance building a channel, improving sales, managing online marketing efforts, and overall company strategy. Contact RAD-INFO INC at 813-963-5884 or http://rad-info.net

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