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The US VoIP Market 2016

In most topics there are 1 or 2 clear-cut winners (see here). In email, it is Gmail. In Office suites, it is Microsoft. In desktop O/S, it is still MS, despite a flood of Macs. In phones, it is Apple and Android. In cellular, it is AT&T and VZW. In texting, it is WhatsApp, Messenger and Snapchat. In storage, it is Dropbox and then box. In ride-sharing, there is Uber and Lyft, and then everyone else.

In the US, due to a number of regulatory and historic reasons, there are no clear winners in TV, ISP or Voice sectors. You could say that Comcast is one of the biggest ISPs along with TWC and AT&T. In TV, it could be AT&T and Comcast again with DISH and TWC.

In VoIP, especially Hosted PBX/UCaaS, there are brand leaders like 8×8 and RC – each with market caps of $1B (give or take), but Comcast probably adds as many hosted seats per month as they do.

Depending how you parse it out, ThinkingPhones, Evolve IP, West and NTT are big players in the UC&C space. Are there winners in the conferencing space with PGI being bought for $1B and Citrix re-organizing?Who knows. These are mature markets – or even settled markets.

In the virtual phone space that Grasshopper played in before Citrix bought them, is there a clear winner? FV, J2, Google and others play in this space. No one has sucked the air out of the room yet. In fact, this space may become a battle ground as desk phones decline and the workforce goes more virtual. And as the freelance market grows from 35% in the US work force today to 55% in just a few years.

channel-pyramid.jpg

Despite the recent consolidation in the UCaaS space, there is still no clear winner. Although analysts always peg growth in UCaaS at 20% per year, only a few ITSPs even come close to that number in seat sales (if you take away virtual phones and network).

I’d say the window is closing for a number of reasons. (1) With the billion dollar babies – Vonage, RC, 8×8- things will shift. (2) VCs want their investment back after waiting 5-10 years for this ocean to rise. It will force some sales (like it did last year). (3) MS and Cisco will put the heat on at the top of the market pyramid (enterprise, Fortune 5000); (4) most ITSPs have not figured out the sales process yet, so the winners will be the ones who put the Sales Machine in place now that it is so expensive per click.

The winners will be by segment. The same company at the bottom of the pyramid will not be the winner at the top. As Vonage Business execs are finding out, it is hard to sell that logo into an enterprise. As 8×8 experienced, moving up to mid-market is an expensive and time consuming effort. West had a $15 million client leave to go to single vendor!!! Do you see how this will likely play out?

In a debate on Fred Wilson’s blog about Netflix versus networks, is it the packaging ro the content? I think it is the User Experience, integration, education, bundle, deployment (which I guess is packaging).

No clear winners yet but it will be fun to watch in 2016 – as it was fun to watch in 2015. It gets started in Lauderdale in less than 3 weeks. See you there! (*and if you want help with that sales machine, give me a shout)

Tags: , , , ,
Related tags: , , , , ,

Related Entries

  • Vocalocity Acquired by VonageOct 10, 2013
  • Vonage Picks Up Another OneAug 20, 2015
  • 2000 Players Have Less Than 40% of MarketJul 21, 2015
  • Vonage Buys Simple SignalMar 17, 2015
  • News Tidbits Part 2916Feb 16, 2015
  • The State of VoIPMay 24, 2011
  • End of Year Summary (Tidbits part 2426)Dec 31, 2015
  • Cloud Comms On the RiseDec 28, 2015
  • Unified Hope for UCaaSDec 16, 2015
    Ziglar-quote-like-trust.jpg
  • Telecom Tidbits (Part 2921)Oct 20, 2015
  • TrackBacks
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    Copyright On Rad’s Radar?

    The US VoIP Market 2016

    In most topics there are 1 or 2 clear-cut winners (see here). In email, it is Gmail. In Office suites, it is Microsoft. In desktop O/S, it is still MS, despite a flood of Macs. In phones, it is Apple and Android. In cellular, it is AT&T and VZW. In texting, it is WhatsApp, Messenger and Snapchat. In storage, it is Dropbox and then box. In ride-sharing, there is Uber and Lyft, and then everyone else.

    In the US, due to a number of regulatory and historic reasons, there are no clear winners in TV, ISP or Voice sectors. You could say that Comcast is one of the biggest ISPs along with TWC and AT&T. In TV, it could be AT&T and Comcast again with DISH and TWC.

    In VoIP, especially Hosted PBX/UCaaS, there are brand leaders like 8×8 and RC – each with market caps of $1B (give or take), but Comcast probably adds as many hosted seats per month as they do.

    Depending how you parse it out, ThinkingPhones, Evolve IP, West and NTT are big players in the UC&C space. Are there winners in the conferencing space with PGI being bought for $1B and Citrix re-organizing?Who knows. These are mature markets – or even settled markets.

    In the virtual phone space that Grasshopper played in before Citrix bought them, is there a clear winner? FV, J2, Google and others play in this space. No one has sucked the air out of the room yet. In fact, this space may become a battle ground as desk phones decline and the workforce goes more virtual. And as the freelance market grows from 35% in the US work force today to 55% in just a few years.

    channel-pyramid.jpg

    Despite the recent consolidation in the UCaaS space, there is still no clear winner. Although analysts always peg growth in UCaaS at 20% per year, only a few ITSPs even come close to that number in seat sales (if you take away virtual phones and network).

    I’d say the window is closing for a number of reasons. (1) With the billion dollar babies – Vonage, RC, 8×8- things will shift. (2) VCs want their investment back after waiting 5-10 years for this ocean to rise. It will force some sales (like it did last year). (3) MS and Cisco will put the heat on at the top of the market pyramid (enterprise, Fortune 5000); (4) most ITSPs have not figured out the sales process yet, so the winners will be the ones who put the Sales Machine in place now that it is so expensive per click.

    The winners will be by segment. The same company at the bottom of the pyramid will not be the winner at the top. As Vonage Business execs are finding out, it is hard to sell that logo into an enterprise. As 8×8 experienced, moving up to mid-market is an expensive and time consuming effort. West had a $15 million client leave to go to single vendor!!! Do you see how this will likely play out?

    In a debate on Fred Wilson’s blog about Netflix versus networks, is it the packaging ro the content? I think it is the User Experience, integration, education, bundle, deployment (which I guess is packaging).

    No clear winners yet but it will be fun to watch in 2016 – as it was fun to watch in 2015. It gets started in Lauderdale in less than 3 weeks. See you there! (*and if you want help with that sales machine, give me a shout)

    Tags: , , , ,
    Related tags: , , , , ,

    Related Entries

  • Vocalocity Acquired by VonageOct 10, 2013
  • Vonage Picks Up Another OneAug 20, 2015
  • 2000 Players Have Less Than 40% of MarketJul 21, 2015
  • Vonage Buys Simple SignalMar 17, 2015
  • News Tidbits Part 2916Feb 16, 2015
  • The State of VoIPMay 24, 2011
  • End of Year Summary (Tidbits part 2426)Dec 31, 2015
  • Cloud Comms On the RiseDec 28, 2015
  • Unified Hope for UCaaSDec 16, 2015
    Ziglar-quote-like-trust.jpg
  • Telecom Tidbits (Part 2921)Oct 20, 2015
  • TrackBacks
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    Copyright On Rad’s Radar?

    On Success and Salespeople

    Interesting viewpoint on Success and Salespeople from David Kahle on LinkedIn: “The vast majority of mankind, including the vast majority of sales people with whom I work, really don’t want to be successful. They understand that success only comes as a result of the investment of time, money, and emotional energy. And, they don’t want to make the investment. They are motivated to just get by, instead of succeeding.”

    After seeing weeks of articles (in my social feeds) on how to be successful, best habits, yadda yadda throughout December, I want to puke. Most people are okay just the way things are. (Until something starts to slide like income or the ability to have a cold brew.)

    In a time when we give awards for participation, it will be a small percentage of people – especially sales people – who will have that drive to succeed (not to be confused with that drive to get a paycheck).

    So what do you do when you want to hire a salesperson but they are in the 80 percentile instead of the 20? One who doesn’t have the drive to succeed but gives you a solid 40 hours of effort? In many cases, they have a mediocre 15 year career in telecom and a closet full of shirts with logos from the numerous companies that employed them.

    Kahle does point out that not everyone is going to be a superstar. Management will need to improve in negotiation and motivation. To get the 80% to be fair to middling. Superstars will be able to work anywhere.

    Lots of people don’t like salespeople, but not a lot of selling gets done without a sales team (except for a few network effect impacted unicorns). It will be interesting to watch this progress. Channel sales will become a bigger part of the strategy (for smart companies).

    Tags: , ,
    Related tags: , , , , ,

    Related Entries

  • Cloud Comms On the RiseDec 28, 2015
  • Sales is Transitioning, Are Salespeople?Jul 17, 2015
  • 2 Ways to Increase Your RevenueJul 08, 2015
  • What Do You Do When Gigabit is $70?Jun 30, 2015
  • Are You Offering Solutions or Products?Jun 26, 2015
  • Where is the VoIP Market is Going?May 11, 2015
    Thumbnail image for how-weve-always-done-it-this-way.jpg
  • Making Referrals WorkApr 22, 2015
  • Why Aren’t You My Customer?Apr 17, 2015
    change-cloud.jpg
  • Re-Education Will Be RequiredApr 06, 2015
  • What Business Model Should the VAR Examine?Mar 30, 2015
  • TrackBacks
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    Apex Technology Services
    Sponsored by Apex Technology Services, a leading IT Services company

    On Success and Salespeople

    Interesting viewpoint on Success and Salespeople from David Kahle on LinkedIn: “The vast majority of mankind, including the vast majority of sales people with whom I work, really don’t want to be successful. They understand that success only comes as a result of the investment of time, money, and emotional energy. And, they don’t want to make the investment. They are motivated to just get by, instead of succeeding.”

    After seeing weeks of articles (in my social feeds) on how to be successful, best habits, yadda yadda throughout December, I want to puke. Most people are okay just the way things are. (Until something starts to slide like income or the ability to have a cold brew.)

    In a time when we give awards for participation, it will be a small percentage of people – especially sales people – who will have that drive to succeed (not to be confused with that drive to get a paycheck).

    So what do you do when you want to hire a salesperson but they are in the 80 percentile instead of the 20? One who doesn’t have the drive to succeed but gives you a solid 40 hours of effort? In many cases, they have a mediocre 15 year career in telecom and a closet full of shirts with logos from the numerous companies that employed them.

    Kahle does point out that not everyone is going to be a superstar. Management will need to improve in negotiation and motivation. To get the 80% to be fair to middling. Superstars will be able to work anywhere.

    Lots of people don’t like salespeople, but not a lot of selling gets done without a sales team (except for a few network effect impacted unicorns). It will be interesting to watch this progress. Channel sales will become a bigger part of the strategy (for smart companies).

    Tags: , ,
    Related tags: , , , , ,

    Related Entries

  • Cloud Comms On the RiseDec 28, 2015
  • Sales is Transitioning, Are Salespeople?Jul 17, 2015
  • 2 Ways to Increase Your RevenueJul 08, 2015
  • What Do You Do When Gigabit is $70?Jun 30, 2015
  • Are You Offering Solutions or Products?Jun 26, 2015
  • Where is the VoIP Market is Going?May 11, 2015
    Thumbnail image for how-weve-always-done-it-this-way.jpg
  • Making Referrals WorkApr 22, 2015
  • Why Aren’t You My Customer?Apr 17, 2015
    change-cloud.jpg
  • Re-Education Will Be RequiredApr 06, 2015
  • What Business Model Should the VAR Examine?Mar 30, 2015
  • TrackBacks
    | Comments | Tag with del.icio.us | On Rad’s Radar? Home | Permalink: On Success and Salespeople


    Copyright On Rad’s Radar?

    Apex Technology Services
    Sponsored by Apex Technology Services, a leading IT Services company

    And Start the New Year Now (Tidbits # 2427)

    ITEXPO is in Ft Lauderdale in 20 days. Will you be there?

    Our ITEXPO panel on Open Source for Service Providers will be using Dialogic’s study, which is examined in this blog post by Jim Machi of Dialogic.

    Some good reads to start off the new year.

    AVC’s Fred Wilson on What Is Going To Happen In 2016

    Alianza has a good read about Disruption to the cable industry HERE. It is based on an Accenture study about the top line growth of cable and the factors that may affect it.

    Apparently, the cost to acquire a cellular customer is at least $650, as VZW is now poaching AT&T, Sprint, and T-Mobile Customers With a $650 Credit. How profitable can that be? In 2 years, that is $27 per month and ARPU is about $54 per month. Margins of 50% on cellular? This is what happens when the metrics are ARPU and new adds. Must get more customers (even unprofitable ones).

    Five cloud experts give their predictions around cloud and security for 2016

    Comcast gets more consumer complaints than any ISP. “The deluge of angry customers is so big that the FCC gets more Internet service complaints about Comcast than it does for AT&T, Verizon, and Time Warner Cable (TWC) combined.” [ARS]

    Level3 would like inter-connection congestion to be reported to the FCC as part of the “FCC’s new rules requiring ISPs to supply more information on their management of networks to consumers.” NCTA says Heck No! And they would because they don’t want transparency on their artificial congestion (aka squeezing the tube that connects consumers to Netflix, Hulu, YouTube and other OTT content that they want to watch.)

    Remember CarrierIQ? They were the company adding rootkit for monitoring smartphone usage for the cellcos. After scrutiny, they went belly up. AT&T bought the assets. Probably a joint venture with the NSA.

    Tags: , , , , , , , ,
    Related tags: ,

    Related Entries

  • At the FCCFeb 24, 2015
  • The Mobile Ecosystem BattleSep 28, 2010
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  • TV is Moving to the InternetOct 27, 2015
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  • Phone Companies, Channel and Other NewsMay 29, 2015
    copper.jpg
  • 2 Items About Open InternetDec 03, 2014
    netflix-packets.png
  • The Load on CableJun 12, 2014
  • More Big M&A Deals AnnouncedMay 19, 2014
  • Net Neutrality LosesJan 14, 2014
  • The FCC is Busy (Part 2)Sep 25, 2013
  • TrackBacks
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    Copyright On Rad’s Radar?

    Apex Technology Services
    Sponsored by Apex Technology Services, a leading IT Services company