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Will Broadview Help Windstream?

In this CRN interview** with Austin Herrington, senior director of product management at Windstream, the strategy is laid out.

Was it just October that Windstream let its small business customers go? At that time didn’t they tell the partner community that they only wanted deals $1250 and above? Didn’t they cut commissions on Paetec customers?

This is a company that owns Allworx but pushes Mitel and Avaya on alternating months. They run both Metaswitch (and took on more seats on Meta with EarthLink) and a Broadsoft. So now they buy a 6th platform: Broadview’s proprietary one. (I hope they kept the chief developer or someone will be searching through code for notes for months.).

Do you know how expensive it is to run 6 platforms? Or even 4? Ask Vonage how much that costs (they run 4).

WIND wants to compete head to head with RC, 8×8 and Vonage in the OTT market. Interesting because data demonstrates that the average OTT deal is $400, well, below the $1250 floor. Even Broadview admits to an ARPU of almost $1000.

I will get emails and calls that I am negative. Chris will ask why I can’t write something nice. I’m not being mean. I am observing a schizoid strategy. Partners cannot turn their business model quarter to quarter to suit the whims of a vendor. It doesn’t work that way.

A $5.4 Billion annual revenue up against $5B in debt. No more equity in CS&L, the REIT they spun off which renamed as UNITI Fiber. “Operating income was $515 million. The company reported a net loss of $384 million.” This is a company that pays out healthy dividends to keep its stock afloat. It has debt payments as well, while acquiring EarthLink and Broadview (and before that data centers it then sold off.)

I hope they can at least take a note from EarthLink: Point yourself at a vertical or two and get good at it. EarthLink had captured the retail vertical with a focus and product fit unseen in the CLEC world. Windstream needs to do more of THAT.

Keep the ELNK Retail division rolling along. Leverage the Broadsoft Hospitality product to find a way to take Hospitality back from the cablecos. The REIT (CS&L) is on a tear buying up fiber and chasing E-Rate. That is a sound strategy.

I wonder if, like CenturyLink, being borne from a RLEC just makes sound strategy tough. So many fat years with USF monies pouring in and no competition that when the spigot went dry, competing just isn’t in the DNA. Hint: hire Dabble Lab. Get Creative. Try stuff. Take real input.

SD-WAN is not the panacea that everyone is hoping for. If SDN is implemented the way LNP and TTU is now, oh boy! A few agents were on FB discussing ZTP (zero touch provisioning) as the end all. I remember Microsoft Plug and Play. It took years to get right. It will all depend on the CPE and the SDN implementation. And I am not counting on it. [And that is just CPE ZTP, not the handsets and UCaaS or Office365 or other software deployment. Just the WAN and CPE.]

Broadview has 20K customers, of which 7300 are cloud users. That isn’t scale. That is less than one-third the of customers 8×8 has. Vonage has 650K seats; Broadview has 182K active users. Scale costs money. Scale requires talent. Scale demands process and procedure. We’ll see. They didn’t even finish the EarthLink integration so this should be fun.

**CRN – click through 10 slides just to read a half page story on this site! What a mess!

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    After Show Tidbits (Part 2453)

    Item1:

    Deloitte acquired most of the assets of Day1 Solutions Inc., a cloud consulting firm to provide deeper cloud expertise. CIO Magazine explains, “Deloitte needs Day1 for the same reason Accenture needs Genfour, Genpact needs Rage Frameworks and Infosys needs Panaya. The problem for Deloitte and for every traditional services company is that their clients do not believe they have the digital skills to lead the digital transformation journey the clients want their business to undertake.”

    Think about that yourself. Do you provide proof of your digital chops to your clients? Would they be comfortable coming to you for cloud migration plans or strategy or advice?

    Item 2:

    The Lookout Breach Report: “With over 1.45 billion compromised accounts, emails, social security numbers, dates of birth, and other data types, March was the biggest month for exposed data this year.” Yes Cyber-Security is indeed needed. I personally am tired of all my data being hacked from companies that don’t protect it.

    A 451 Research survey on Security Pain Points and Concerns showed that “User Behavior is a top concern across companies of all sizes – while other issues such as Endpoint Security present a bigger problem for smaller companies. In contrast, Cloud Security and Data Loss/Theft pose a greater threat for very large organizations.”

    Item 3 is SD-WAN announcements

    Coredial and Cincinnati Bell are the latest Velocloud wins. I find it funny that Zero Outages re-branded as the first SD-WAN company at their mostly unmanned booth.

    Windstream is wholesaling SD-WAN now. No idea who they are wholesaling, but at this rate SD-WAN is already a commodity and Cisco/ADTRAN need to be afraid, the CPE isn’t coming from them any more. It isn’t being distributed by Tech Data either!

    Westcon-Comstor Adds Viptela’s SD-WAN Portfolio

    Item 4: M&A:

    After buying Hunt Telecom and , Uniti Fiber scoops up pure-play fiber company, Southern Light to move itself away from just being dependent on Windstream. UNITI also bought Tower Cloud and PEG. Maybe Alpheus or FiberLight will be next.

    Item 5: More M&A:

    Broadvoice bought a company to add in analytics and user experience. “XBP’s core strengths is in deep reporting and analytics integration, enabling customers to better understand user behavior. For example, tools like Advertising Analytics allow users to measure and follow through on outreach campaigns, from local to nationwide. Other tools like voice recording on-demand and voice-to-text conversion provide solid, searchable data that enhance successful client relationships.”

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    Apex Technology Services
    Sponsored by Apex Technology Services, a leading IT Services company

    Windstream Bites Again

    Windstream just finished the paperwork on closing EarthLink. Now they are buying Broadview Networks in an all cash deal for $227M, of which $161M is to pay debt. [WIND gets $183M in NOLs though and 4.6x 2016 OIBDA, for you accounting geeks.] This will be WIND’s 6th UC platform – Broadsoft, Metaswitch, Allworx, Avaya, Mitel. Broadview’s OfficeSuiteUC is home built, just like Fuze, 8×8, RC, Broadvoice, Jive and many others.

    The surprise was that Broadview only had 20K business customers, of which 7,300 utilize their cloud based services! The ARPU was about $1000. There is about $239M in revenue but not profitable revenue.

    You can tell that most people have no idea about the channel at all. The investor deck says Broadview has 300+ master agents. RC had a slide that its 8 master agents provided access to 200K sub-agents. At best, this is naivete; at worst, it is lying to investors.

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    The Quota-Price Collision

    The one question that keeps coming up: How do you hit quota (which incidentally never goes down) when the pricing is declining?

    What do you do when a $60K MPLS network is replaced with a $40K SD-WAN network? And when some of those Internet links are not even on the carrier’s network?

    What do you do when 10GB trans-continental private lines are so ridiculously low?

    Well, the management has to re-adjust their reality for the sales team. It isn’t the salespeople’s fault that price is eroding fast. That is an industry wide executive decision. There are no safe havens for high margin. Even SD-WAN which was hyped just a year ago has fallen under the I Will Save You Money banner (already).

    Much of the merger mania is based on synergies – or that at scale the same amount of people can take care of more revenue, which adds margin. A few of the mergers are due to a debt burden that becomes due. That was Intermedia’s problem in 2001. No one learned that lesson. Avaya faces that problem today with a debt load that cannot be serviced by its revenue.

    But direct sales, channel managers and partners face declining revenues across the board. This means less commissions, less margins, less profitable quarters.

    When cablecos stop paying commissions on modems sales (like ILECs did with anything TDM or DSL), what will the channel do? I ask because all the SD-WAN hype is about a branch office utilizing broadband – DSL, cable modem, fixed wireless, 4G, satellite or a combination – for lowered costs but improved performance via that special little white box of SD-WAN.

    Also with the shackles off at the FCC, we will see bigger mergers and most likely port blocking will become a thing again. OTT VoIP providers will have to figure out how to circumnavigate the waters pf port blocking on broadband circuits at SOHO, branches and rural locations. It will be interesting.

    But that is all down the road. Right now we face consolidation of vendors but price erosion, which may be accelerated by the MPLS to SD-WAN transition. Oh, Goody!

    I say this a lot but we have to sell a lot more, faster to maintain.

    We need to Land and Expand. Get the pipe but start taking apps and voice, backup, DR, security. It will become imperative to take a chunk of the whole customer IT/telecom budget to survive.

    Carriers can help by stopping pushing product and going to a holistic package approach of bundling products into a turn key solution like UC + 4G + Internet + POS + Compliance + backup.

    Or savvy partners will start bundling multi-vendor solutions themselves to get more of the pie. The carrier will be stuck being a component.

    Co-Selling will be a see-saw. The carriers will like it to protect their own offerings and sales numbers but will hate paying twice one the sales.

    We are in for a ride about as smooth as dealing with the airlines! Happy Travels! Back to CP Expo 17 now.

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    Telecom Tidbits (Part 2452)

    Coming at you from the Channel show in Vegas, where TTelePacific reveals its new brand as TPX Communications. Tele and Pacific didn’t fit a managed services provider with a nationwide reach. TPX is more interested in selling UCaaS, managed IT, SD-WAN and managed security these days. The name change is to reflect that.

    This and some other moves clearly closes the book on the era of the CLEC.

    Southern Light got acquired by UNITI Fiber (formerly CS&L which was the Windstream spin-off REIT) for $700M.

    The Intelisys division of Scansource finally revealed that they acquired Kingcom, the exclusive Verizon partner that they run their VZ business through. Just bringing it all in house.

    There were more announcements of companies picking a SD-WAN partner: OneStream picked Versa; Star2Star chose Velocloud; Nitel chose Versa, too. This is quickly becoming like Hosted VoIP/UC. It will quickly become a commodity, faster than any technology the channel has sold.

    AT&T bought Straight Path for a billion dollars for the spectrum. Any spectrum is property with a water view right now.

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