Peter Radizeski is Founder and President of RAD-INFO INC. He is an accomplished blogalyst, speaker, author and consultant. He has helped many service providers with sales training, marketing, channel development and business strategy. He is a trusted source of knowledge about the telecom sector. His honest and direct approach make him a refreshing speaker.

Look for his innovative ideas and analysis of current technology on his blogs.

Meet him at one of the many conferences he attends and speaks at.

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The Commission Revenue Spiral

I received an email today about the channel strategy for 2016 for Windstream: WIND is NOT paying agents for any new order under $1500. I wrote about this when I first heard in October. No idea how this will work out, but train wreck comes to mind.

Windstream as a whole has had some much change – acquisitions, people, spin-offs – that I imagine there are no silly ideas in the conference room.

When you talk to channel partners about telecom channel programs, there are few bright spots. Some telcos are so difficult to work with that after one try, you will never go back. Other CLECs, you learn what they can deliver on – and what is vaporware. Right now, it is more vaporware than service delivery. You would think after almost 20 years, telcos could deliver network and voice. No wonder VARs and MSPs don’t want to sell this stuff!

When you think about this — go ahead! Think about it for a couple of minutes, I will wait… The channel and the telcos face the same challenge: declining pricing means less revenue!!!

We – direct and indirect – have to sell more and more to meet quota. Translate that to mean sales have to get more transactional. Not something you want when you want higher ARPU, but to make quota, salespeople and agents will sell whatever they can to get paid. That will mean more transactional sales. Stay with me for a minute.

You have a $3000 quota per month. You can sell three (3) 100MB DIA circuits and meet quota with minimal effort – or you can try to sell a converged network or a UC&C platform for $3K that will take weeks to close. (And how many of those projects have to be in your funnel to close 1? And how much time do they suck up? A lot.)

Now that same $3000 is only going to produce about $450 per month in commission.

There will be more channel conflict because directs won’t want to let any deal go. Deal registration is going to become a requirement.

What is needed? Telcos have to take the friction out of sales and delivery. I just don’t think they can. (Do you?)

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I don’t see this working out well for anyone. Too much debt. Declining or flat revenue. Too many mergers with half-assed integration. No spend on IT infrastructure to bring BSS and OSS current. Lack of domain knowledge from massive layoffs. Talent problem because of massive layoffs and the Nepotism. Absence of innovation. But, hey, on the bright side, it has been like this for years and will likely continue in its trajectory. Even with cable kicking their asses, the telco C-Suite can’t wake up.

Meanwhile, all the VoIP players are trying to disrupt telco. However, it all comes back to the PSTN. Most people still have to connect to the old phone network for call completion — especially for rural call completion. Hard to disrupt something — even for Microsoft or Google — when at the end of the day, the business you are disrupting is operated by incumbent.

The biggest disruption was the iPhone and Ma Bell helped launch that….

And even the cellular world is as complicated as the wireline world. Even without unions to blame, the telcos still manage to make everything so freaking complicated, which is their primary problem.

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    Apex Technology Services
    Sponsored by Apex Technology Services, a leading IT Services company

    Merger Tidbits (Part 2924)

    Sierra Wireless made those data cards that Sprint sold for laptops for 3G access. They still make Mi-Fi devices. Sierra is a Canadian firm that decided to buy a Tampa MVNO named Accel Networks for a managed connectivity offering. Accel has MVNO agreements with the Big 4 cellcos for 3G and 4G data access. Accel also has a patent-pending antenna. Sierra decided that being an MVNO and starting a channel were a good way to get things to pop in 2015. Sierra hired a Comcast channel manager to build its channel. We see how that works out in 2016. It is almost the same thing: sell cable modems = sell 4G backup with hardware. Almost.

    TCN and GlobalConnect merged. Never heard of either company. Cloud somethingor other.

    PGi, a publicly traded conferencing provider, was acquired by a fund management company, Siris Capital Group, LLC, for $1B <– billion. Revenue in 2014 was $567M. Wainhouse suggests that the CITRIX spin-off of Grasshopper+Citrix's GoTo+OpenVoice would be worth about $600M.

    Data center is hot. Now the UC&C space is heating up. It could be because there are no clear winners or dominant players yet. Certainly, West and NTT are big but they don’t dominate. Neither does Vonage or any other UC company. There is plenty of room to consolidate and work towards domination.

    Netwolves, a managed services provider, was acquired by a Health IT firm. “Vasomedical, Inc. today announced the acquisition of all assets of NetWolves, LLC and affiliates on May 29, 2015.” [pr] I missed this one. Netwolves’ “Fiscal 2013 and 2014 revenues were approximately $28 million and $30 million, respectively, and adjusted operating income was approximately $1.2 million and $1.4 million, respectively. Vasomedical completed the acquisition of all NetWolves assets on May 29, 2015, including all proprietary technology and intellectual properties, service provider and customer contracts, licenses, etc., for $18 million in cash and the assumption of certain liabilities, virtually all of which are operations related.” That is a 14x multiple on income!!!!

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    Apex Technology Services
    Sponsored by Apex Technology Services, a leading IT Services company

    The B&N Lesson

    Reading this blog post this morning from author and former Green Beret, Bob Mayer (who also teaches writers and publishes writers) about the troubles of B&N got me thinking – and writing this post.

    It is interesting to me that music learned the lesson of digital disruption first but no one else even considered that it could happen to them. Next came movies, newspapers and the book industry.

    The book publishing industry has been in a war with Amazon for the last three years. Amazon is just the poster child for digital disruption.

    Newspapers blame Google for their ills. Well, that industry has no one to blame but themselves. Craigslist made classifieds obsolete. And the newspapers did NOTHING.

    Actually most industries have not changed – even in the face of UBER!

    After Borders/Waldenbooks closed, Barnes & Noble have not exactly tried much. According to analysts, the Nook is sinking B&N. B&N spent $800M on developing the Nook, an Android based e-reader tablet to compete with the Kindle. They could have just gone to Asus or Lenovo to shave about $600M off that spend.

    I am an avid reader with piles of hardcover books to read. I like reading actual books. I spend a fair amount of time and money on my kindle too. When ebooks cost almost the same as the hardcover, I buy hardcover — and build up a disgust for the publishing industry.

    We are in the Digital Age. We are in the Disruption Age. We are also in the age of declining disposable income. That will affect every industry.

    B&N didn’t learn anything from the closing of Borders. And my independent book sellers haven’t done anything different either. Same business model as before. I don’t see how that can work out in the long run. Even libraries realize that they are a resource factory now, not a book depository. The Hillsborough County library

    has a Hackerspace, computers, free wi-fi, work spaces, ebooks and regular books.

    How is it the county library figured it out but not a multi-billion dollar business that had 4 CEO’s in the last 5 years?

    Instead of trying to mimic something you can’t duplicate – like say becoming Amazon – remember the basics of the business: books, repeat visitors, loyalty programs, shopping experience.

    Seth Godin explains, “Shopping is an entertaining act, distinct from buying. Shopping is looking around, spending time in search of choosing how to spend money. Shopping is buying something you’ve never purchased before.” If that is true, that changes the dynamic of a brick-and-mortar store.

    Best Buy was facing becoming the showroom for online stores. They faced that problem without really considering what the customers wanted – or why they visited the store. A little technology coupled with analytics helped. Market research or surveys also probably aided them.

    I am teaching a Marketing Workshop. I keep repeating a couple of things: Know Your Value Proposition and Tell a Really Good Story.

    What is your business really? Are you a VoIP provider? Or ISP? Or are you really the means to which people can communicate with friend, family and customers?

    We get tunnel vision of our company and technology and products. It is good to look at other industries for ideas that will work for us. It is good to examine failures to learn lessons that others paid for.

    CB Insights has a database of Startup Failure Post-Mortems. BI looks at 7 startup failures from 2015.

    To paraphrase Bob Mayer: “2016 is going to bring some changes, both good and bad. Are you ready?”

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    Lessons from the NGC15

    At the NextGen Cloud Expo yesterday, Tony Hawk was the featured keynote. Not exactly a prized speaker, he did have interesting vignettes about his life. He kept doing the skate-boarding thing even when he was broke and making no money at it. It was his passion – and he eventually made the big payday.

    Another lesson from Hawk is that in personal branding own your brand and what others can do with it. It can ruin you otherwise.

    David McCann, VP of AWS Marketplace, gave a talk that started out pretty informational. I mean, the first 5 slides were great, then straight into the pitch: “Open a browser, let’s sign you all up as AWS Partners right now!” Why do people think that I want to spend my money, travel and time for something like that? Really? Would David sit through 20 minutes of me explaining how to be my partner? Unlikely.

    The 5 slides amounted to reasons business go to cloud” (1) increased agility; (2) lower cost or CAPEX; (3) Elasticity; (4) Breadth of functionality; (5) Go Global in minutes.

    The reason that VARs and MSPs should recognize this is to determine where they want to bring their skill set to bear. Removing the heavy lifting is just one place that businesses need help. Guiding them to the right cloud platform – AWS, Rackspace, Azure, Private, Hybrid, Public, nextgen. A migration stratgey and project management.

    In a point, click and deploy world, where do channel partners fit?

    Other news: Netwolves was acquired – back in June! – by a healthcare IT company called Vasomedical. In that release, I see that Netwolves was doing about $30M! Didn’t know that. I wonder how that will shake out for the channel program!

    WOW! Business did a deal with WOW! Business. (No press release available.) Yet you can see them holding hands throughout this event. Hope that relationship works out for both. VAR Dynamics is a white label for Microsoft, Zimbra and Intronis.

    On a TCA panel to help bridge the gap for VARs and MSPs to grasp telecom, COLOTRAQ CEO, Dany Bouchedid, mentioned that his master agency is having a banner year due to Hybrid Cloud Projects. These projects combine traditional elements of colocation with IAAS for their own private cloud. Not everyone is ready to go on the big public cloud ecosystems like Azure or AWS. “We are certainly not seeing thatlevel of adoption from large enterprises,” says Bouchedid.

    In other news, VoIP Supply opened a marketplace for SIP Trunk providers and Hosted VoIP Providers. So in essence, VoIP Supply has shifted to becoming cloud services broker. That should make a few partners really happy to hear.

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    The Channel Nepotism

    At NextGen Cloud Expo (what is the nextgen cloud?), we were talking about all of the musical chairs in the channel programs in 2015. So many. Maybe you noticed the changes, but more likely you probably noticed the pattern.

    The pattern is that a channel executive moves to a new company and he takes his cronies with him. Some look at it as surrounding yourself with people you can trust. I look at it as you surround yourself with Yes Men and insulate yourself from others.

    This is like the Yankees hiring a player and he brings a quarter of his old ball club with him, When has that ever happened in sports? It happens occasionally with coaches.

    Most of us in the channel wouldn’t mind so much except that by keeping the band together – the nepotism I used in the title – you don’t improve. This band of merry channel men go from company to company — and hardly ever hit a home run.

    If the exec does this for comfort, he is doing it wrong! Being comfortable is not how you bring about change — or make a dent in the universe.

    Being insulated or surrounded by people beholden to you isn’t how you can listen and get feedback.

    It happens again and again. It has happened often this year. I wish it would be different because we could use an A Team of two running some programs in this tumultuous time in telecom.

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